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Austrian Theory

9 runs in the Betfair files · 16 Apr 2026 – 16 Sep 2026 · Betfair selection ID 39823322

3/9qualifying runs that traded at ½ BSP or lower
33%DOB rate
1wins
2/8beaten runs that still hit ½
3/9Flat runs that hit ½ BSP
A small sample: 9 qualifying runs. One horse's past runs say little about the next one, and conditions, trip and jockey change from race to race.

Every run

DateCourseRaceBSPIn-play lowLow ÷ BSPResultDOBSource
16 Sep 2026 14:08Beverley1m2f Sell Hcap5.001.0120%WonDOBCSV
3 Sep 2026 13:30Haydock1m4f Hcap4.503.7082%LostNoCSV
17 Aug 2026 14:15Catterick1m4f Hcap3.552.7678%LostNoCSV
25 Jul 2026 14:05Newcastle1m4f Hcap119.9726.0022%LostDOBCSV
24 Jun 2026 17:05Carlisle1m3f Hcap32.0032.00100%LostNoCSV
12 Jun 2026 17:18York1m2f Hcap26.7825.0093%LostNoCSV
28 May 2026 15:40Ripon1m2f Hcap25.0030.00>100%LostNoCSV
15 May 2026 19:50Hamilton1m1f Hcap5.704.3075%LostNoCSV
16 Apr 2026 16:16Ripon1m2f Hcap28.0012.0043%LostDOBCSV

“n/a” = BSP under 2.02 or no in-play trade recorded, so the run doesn't count towards the rate. “Low ÷ BSP” is the in-play low as a percentage of BSP.

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Each week: which courses, race types and horses traded at half their BSP in-running, straight from Betfair's own files. Numbers, not tips.