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Kondratiev Wave

17 runs in the Betfair files · 27 Nov 2025 – 31 Oct 2026 · Betfair selection ID 25995427

2/17qualifying runs that traded at ½ BSP or lower
12%DOB rate
1wins
2/16beaten runs that still hit ½
2/17Flat runs that hit ½ BSP
A small sample: 17 qualifying runs. One horse's past runs say little about the next one, and conditions, trip and jockey change from race to race.

Every run

DateCourseRaceBSPIn-play lowLow ÷ BSPResultDOBSource
31 Oct 2026 16:35Southwell1m Hcap180.0036.0020%LostDOBCSV
5 Oct 2026 19:15Kempton7f Hcap34.0024.0071%LostNoCSV
24 Aug 2026 17:00Brighton7f Hcap4.805.00>100%LostNoCSV
6 Aug 2026 15:50Brighton1m Hcap11.5010.5091%LostNoCSV
20 Jul 2026 20:50Windsor1m Hcap12.934.0031%LostDOBCSV
7 Jul 2026 19:20Brighton7f Hcap25.5616.5065%LostNoCSV
29 May 2026 16:23Brighton7f Hcap3.704.10>100%LostNoCSV
12 May 2026 17:00Bath1m Hcap6.655.5083%LostNoCSV
29 Apr 2026 16:40Southwell1m Hcap5.904.4075%LostNoCSV
25 Mar 2026 13:52Lingfield7f Hcap2.862.8098%LostNoCSV
25 Feb 2026 15:12Lingfield7f Hcap2.791.7663%WonNoCSV
24 Jan 2026 14:48Lingfield7f Hcap7.6690.00>100%LostNoCSV
15 Jan 2026 18:30Chelmsford City7f Hcap3.193.1097%LostNoCSV
11 Jan 2026 16:12Chelmsford City7f Hcap2.922.7092%LostNoCSV
3 Jan 2026 14:52Lingfield7f Hcap7.764.3055%LostNoCSV
8 Dec 2025 14:37Lingfield1m Hcap5.154.0078%LostNoCSV
27 Nov 2025 19:15Newcastle7f Hcap8.717.6087%LostNoCSV

“n/a” = BSP under 2.02 or no in-play trade recorded, so the run doesn't count towards the rate. “Low ÷ BSP” is the in-play low as a percentage of BSP.

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Each week: which courses, race types and horses traded at half their BSP in-running, straight from Betfair's own files. Numbers, not tips.