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Must Believe

10 runs in the Betfair files · 26 Nov 2025 – 5 Nov 2026 · Betfair selection ID 71414295

5/10qualifying runs that traded at ½ BSP or lower
50%DOB rate
3wins
2/7beaten runs that still hit ½
5/10Flat runs that hit ½ BSP
A small sample: 10 qualifying runs. One horse's past runs say little about the next one, and conditions, trip and jockey change from race to race.

Every run

DateCourseRaceBSPIn-play lowLow ÷ BSPResultDOBSource
5 Nov 2026 15:40Chelmsford City2m Hcap4.401.0123%WonDOBCSV
2 Oct 2026 16:45Ascot2m Hcap7.257.0097%LostNoCSV
4 Sep 2026 20:24Kempton2m Hcap5.501.5027%LostDOBCSV
12 Aug 2026 20:30Kempton1m4f Hcap113.2770.0062%LostNoCSV
5 Jun 2026 20:12Goodwood1m4f Hcap14.735.7039%LostDOBCSV
4 May 2026 16:55Kempton1m3f Hcap8.411.0112%WonDOBCSV
4 Feb 2026 15:45Kempton1m3f Hcap8.008.40>100%LostNoCSV
15 Jan 2026 19:30Chelmsford City1m5f Hcap6.203.5557%LostNoCSV
20 Dec 2025 18:15Wolverhampton1m4f Hcap6.204.0065%LostNoCSV
26 Nov 2025 13:30Southwell1m3f Hcap8.111.0112%WonDOBCSV

“n/a” = BSP under 2.02 or no in-play trade recorded, so the run doesn't count towards the rate. “Low ÷ BSP” is the in-play low as a percentage of BSP.

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Each week: which courses, race types and horses traded at half their BSP in-running, straight from Betfair's own files. Numbers, not tips.