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Poke The Bear

14 runs in the Betfair files · 8 Dec 2025 – 5 Nov 2026 · Betfair selection ID 42482293

6/14qualifying runs that traded at ½ BSP or lower
43%DOB rate
3wins
3/11beaten runs that still hit ½
6/14Flat runs that hit ½ BSP
A small sample: 14 qualifying runs. One horse's past runs say little about the next one, and conditions, trip and jockey change from race to race.

Every run

DateCourseRaceBSPIn-play lowLow ÷ BSPResultDOBSource
5 Nov 2026 13:57Chelmsford City1m2f Hcap14.278.0056%LostNoCSV
26 Jun 2026 18:25Newmarket1m Hcap36.0011.0031%LostDOBCSV
2 Jun 2026 21:00Wolverhampton1m1f Hcap27.6820.0072%LostNoCSV
20 May 2026 19:40Yarmouth1m Hcap45.737.8017%LostDOBCSV
30 Apr 2026 17:07Lingfield1m Hcap16.5020.00>100%LostNoCSV
27 Mar 2026 16:42Lingfield1m Hcap10.936.4059%LostNoCSV
28 Feb 2026 15:10Lingfield7f Hcap7.419.00>100%LostNoCSV
21 Feb 2026 16:27Lingfield1m Hcap7.205.6078%LostNoCSV
6 Feb 2026 15:17Wolverhampton7f Hcap9.1013.50>100%LostNoCSV
29 Jan 2026 14:20Lingfield1m Hcap2.481.0141%WonDOBCSV
24 Jan 2026 14:48Lingfield7f Hcap11.691.019%WonDOBCSV
6 Jan 2026 19:00Southwell1m Hcap7.726.0078%LostNoCSV
17 Dec 2025 15:20Lingfield1m Hcap8.044.0050%LostDOBCSV
8 Dec 2025 14:37Lingfield1m Hcap33.061.013%WonDOBCSV

“n/a” = BSP under 2.02 or no in-play trade recorded, so the run doesn't count towards the rate. “Low ÷ BSP” is the in-play low as a percentage of BSP.

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Each week: which courses, race types and horses traded at half their BSP in-running, straight from Betfair's own files. Numbers, not tips.