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Project Kinsman

9 runs in the Betfair files · 19 Mar 2026 – 2 Oct 2026 · Betfair selection ID 88990600

5/8qualifying runs that traded at ½ BSP or lower
63%DOB rate
0wins
5/8beaten runs that still hit ½
5/8Flat runs that hit ½ BSP
A small sample: 8 qualifying runs. One horse's past runs say little about the next one, and conditions, trip and jockey change from race to race.

Every run

DateCourseRaceBSPIn-play lowLow ÷ BSPResultDOBSource
2 Oct 2026 13:31Wolverhampton1m4f Hcap60.6627.0045%LostDOBCSV
19 Sep 2026 16:45Newcastle1m4f Hcap13.5013.0096%LostNoCSV
4 Aug 2026 16:15Catterick1m4f Hcap59.4821.0035%LostDOBCSV
22 Jul 2026 15:42Catterick1m4f Hcap47.787.0015%LostDOBCSV
18 Jun 2026 19:00Southwell1m4f Hcap41.6140.0096%LostNoCSV
2 Jun 2026 18:15Newcastle1m2f Class Stks9.204.1045%LostDOBCSV
1 May 2026 16:45Newcastle1m2f Hcap16.1813.0080%LostNoCSV
13 Apr 2026 17:30Newcastle1m2f Hcap13.134.1031%LostDOBCSV
19 Mar 2026 19:00Newcastle7f Mdn Stks875.19——Lostn/aCSV

“n/a” = BSP under 2.02 or no in-play trade recorded, so the run doesn't count towards the rate. “Low ÷ BSP” is the in-play low as a percentage of BSP.

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Each week: which courses, race types and horses traded at half their BSP in-running, straight from Betfair's own files. Numbers, not tips.