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Proof

9 runs in the Betfair files · 11 Apr 2026 – 16 Oct 2026 · Betfair selection ID 5612347

3/9qualifying runs that traded at ½ BSP or lower
33%DOB rate
3wins
0/6beaten runs that still hit ½
3/9Flat runs that hit ½ BSP
A small sample: 9 qualifying runs. One horse's past runs say little about the next one, and conditions, trip and jockey change from race to race.

Every run

DateCourseRaceBSPIn-play lowLow ÷ BSPResultDOBSource
16 Oct 2026 16:37Haydock5f Hcap16.001.016%WonDOBCSV
26 Sep 2026 15:15Haydock6f Hcap19.2429.00>100%LostNoCSV
19 Sep 2026 15:46Chester6f Hcap33.8736.00>100%LostNoCSV
31 Aug 2026 13:50Epsom6f Hcap12.081.018%WonDOBCSV
23 Jun 2026 14:30Ffos Las6f Hcap5.605.80>100%LostNoCSV
5 Jun 2026 13:30Epsom5f Hcap31.6530.0095%LostNoCSV
17 May 2026 16:15Hamilton6f Hcap55.0030.0055%LostNoCSV
8 May 2026 16:45Chester5f Hcap12.761000.00>100%LostNoCSV
11 Apr 2026 18:15Southwell5f Hcap6.401.0116%WonDOBCSV

“n/a” = BSP under 2.02 or no in-play trade recorded, so the run doesn't count towards the rate. “Low ÷ BSP” is the in-play low as a percentage of BSP.

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