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Risk Averse Rebel

11 runs in the Betfair files · 9 Mar 2026 – 3 Nov 2026 · Betfair selection ID 86905814

4/11qualifying runs that traded at ½ BSP or lower
36%DOB rate
0wins
4/11beaten runs that still hit ½
4/10Flat runs that hit ½ BSP
0/1Hurdle runs that hit ½ BSP
A small sample: 11 qualifying runs. One horse's past runs say little about the next one, and conditions, trip and jockey change from race to race.

Every run

DateCourseRaceBSPIn-play lowLow ÷ BSPResultDOBSource
3 Nov 2026 12:53Warwick2m Mdn Hrd85.0095.00>100%LostNoCSV
19 Sep 2026 17:25Chester1m6f Hcap14.5020.00>100%LostNoCSV
11 Sep 2026 14:47Chester1m2f Hcap19.004.6024%LostDOBCSV
17 Aug 2026 19:55Windsor1m3f Hcap7.498.40>100%LostNoCSV
25 Jul 2026 13:53Chester1m4f Hcap15.441.419%LostDOBCSV
16 Jun 2026 19:15Wolverhampton1m4f Hcap5.093.2564%LostNoCSV
2 Jun 2026 17:24Wolverhampton1m4f Hcap29.0012.0041%LostDOBCSV
24 Apr 2026 17:10Doncaster1m2f Hcap14.5013.0090%LostNoCSV
30 Mar 2026 19:00Wolverhampton1m1f Hcap8.003.7046%LostDOBCSV
13 Mar 2026 18:40Wolverhampton1m1f Hcap8.8012.50>100%LostNoCSV
9 Mar 2026 20:00Wolverhampton1m Hcap35.4022.0062%LostNoCSV

“n/a” = BSP under 2.02 or no in-play trade recorded, so the run doesn't count towards the rate. “Low ÷ BSP” is the in-play low as a percentage of BSP.

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Each week: which courses, race types and horses traded at half their BSP in-running, straight from Betfair's own files. Numbers, not tips.