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What Fools Believe

9 runs in the Betfair files · 22 Nov 2025 – 19 Jun 2026 · Betfair selection ID 91496943

4/9qualifying runs that traded at ½ BSP or lower
44%DOB rate
1wins
3/8beaten runs that still hit ½
4/9Flat runs that hit ½ BSP
A small sample: 9 qualifying runs. One horse's past runs say little about the next one, and conditions, trip and jockey change from race to race.

Every run

DateCourseRaceBSPIn-play lowLow ÷ BSPResultDOBSource
19 Jun 2026 14:50Redcar7f Hcap54.09170.00>100%LostNoCSV
3 Jun 2026 20:42Ripon1m Hcap15.0017.00>100%LostNoCSV
12 May 2026 17:10Beverley1m2f Hcap11.4615.00>100%LostNoCSV
25 Apr 2026 20:00Southwell1m Hcap14.0017.50>100%LostNoCSV
9 Apr 2026 17:25Southwell1m Hcap18.001.016%WonDOBCSV
19 Feb 2026 16:30Newcastle7f Hcap94.5640.0042%LostDOBCSV
18 Dec 2025 14:52Southwell6f Nov Stks546.55100.0018%LostDOBCSV
5 Dec 2025 15:45Newcastle7f Nov Stks190.00120.0063%LostNoCSV
22 Nov 2025 17:10Newcastle7f Nov Stks53.5226.0049%LostDOBCSV

“n/a” = BSP under 2.02 or no in-play trade recorded, so the run doesn't count towards the rate. “Low ÷ BSP” is the in-play low as a percentage of BSP.

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Each week: which courses, race types and horses traded at half their BSP in-running, straight from Betfair's own files. Numbers, not tips.