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Guesstimate

10 runs in the Betfair files · 19 Nov 2025 – 16 Oct 2026 · Betfair selection ID 90190171

3/10qualifying runs that traded at ½ BSP or lower
30%DOB rate
1wins
2/9beaten runs that still hit ½
3/10Flat runs that hit ½ BSP
A small sample: 10 qualifying runs. One horse's past runs say little about the next one, and conditions, trip and jockey change from race to race.

Every run

DateCourseRaceBSPIn-play lowLow ÷ BSPResultDOBSource
16 Oct 2026 16:43Newcastle1m2f Hcap4.154.60>100%LostNoCSV
24 Sep 2026 20:00Southwell1m3f Hcap9.681.7018%LostDOBCSV
26 Aug 2026 19:30Newbury1m2f Hcap8.335.1061%LostNoCSV
11 Aug 2026 15:30Lingfield1m2f Hcap10.077.2071%LostNoCSV
17 Jul 2026 14:22Nottingham1m2f Nov Stks3.101.0133%WonDOBCSV
19 Jun 2026 16:40Redcar1m2f Hcap7.68120.00>100%LostNoCSV
23 May 2026 15:45Goodwood1m2f Nov Stks6.204.0065%LostNoCSV
5 May 2026 19:00Wolverhampton1m1f Nov Stks13.0511.0084%LostNoCSV
6 Apr 2026 14:20Kempton1m Nov Stks3.643.5096%LostNoCSV
19 Nov 2025 17:10Kempton1m Mdn Stks8.402.6031%LostDOBCSV

“n/a” = BSP under 2.02 or no in-play trade recorded, so the run doesn't count towards the rate. “Low ÷ BSP” is the in-play low as a percentage of BSP.

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Each week: which courses, race types and horses traded at half their BSP in-running, straight from Betfair's own files. Numbers, not tips.