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True Promise

17 runs in the Betfair files · 5 Dec 2025 – 26 Sep 2026 · Betfair selection ID 64669419

6/17qualifying runs that traded at ½ BSP or lower
35%DOB rate
1wins
5/16beaten runs that still hit ½
6/17Flat runs that hit ½ BSP
A small sample: 17 qualifying runs. One horse's past runs say little about the next one, and conditions, trip and jockey change from race to race.

Every run

DateCourseRaceBSPIn-play lowLow ÷ BSPResultDOBSource
26 Sep 2026 17:55Southwell5f Hcap42.1317.0040%LostDOBCSV
6 Sep 2026 14:05York5f Hcap100.0090.0090%LostNoCSV
20 Aug 2026 20:24Newcastle5f Hcap17.0065.00>100%LostNoCSV
1 Aug 2026 15:17Thirsk5f Hcap39.2060.00>100%LostNoCSV
10 Jul 2026 19:35Chester6f Hcap9.4070.00>100%LostNoCSV
29 May 2026 20:25Wolverhampton5f Hcap2.861.0135%WonDOBCSV
9 May 2026 16:40Ascot6f Hcap12.00950.00>100%LostNoCSV
26 Apr 2026 17:05Wetherby6f Hcap4.321.4433%LostDOBCSV
1 Apr 2026 20:30Kempton6f Hcap4.791.3328%LostDOBCSV
24 Feb 2026 15:42Newcastle6f Hcap4.544.90>100%LostNoCSV
19 Feb 2026 20:00Newcastle5f Hcap4.634.0086%LostNoCSV
7 Feb 2026 20:30Southwell5f Hcap3.042.1069%LostNoCSV
24 Jan 2026 18:05Newcastle6f Hcap5.402.1039%LostDOBCSV
16 Jan 2026 12:30Newcastle6f Hcap5.212.1842%LostDOBCSV
28 Dec 2025 15:20Southwell6f Hcap5.734.6080%LostNoCSV
13 Dec 2025 16:45Newcastle5f Hcap8.026.6082%LostNoCSV
5 Dec 2025 18:15Newcastle5f Hcap4.704.0085%LostNoCSV

“n/a” = BSP under 2.02 or no in-play trade recorded, so the run doesn't count towards the rate. “Low ÷ BSP” is the in-play low as a percentage of BSP.

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